Multi-model Ensemble Based Extended Range Forecast of Tropical Cyclogenesis over the North Indian Ocean - Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change - page 207

Fig. 4: MME forecast mean vorticity (1 × 10 sec -1 ) based on 27 Oct and valid for:
(a) 31 Oct-06 Nov, 2011 (days 5-11 forecast) and (b) 07-13 Nov, 2011 (days 12-18
forecast), (c) and (d) same as 'a' but for mean rainfall, (e) and (f) same as 'a' and 'b' but
for rainfall anomaly.
forecast mean wind, mean relative vorticity and mean rainfall valid for the
period 19-25 December and 26 December-1 January, 2012 has captured the
system very well (Fig. 6a-f).
The forecast mean wind based on 15 th Dec initial condition and valid for
days 5-11 forecast (19-25 Dec) clearly shows the cyclonic circulation over the