Multi-model Ensemble Based Extended Range Forecast of Tropical Cyclogenesis over the North Indian Ocean - Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change - page 208

Fig. 5: MME forecast weekly wind anomaly valid for 28 Nov-04 Dec 2011: (a) days
5-11 forecast based on 24 Nov and (b) days 12-18 forecast based on 17 Nov. (c) and
(d), same as 'a' and 'b' but for mean vorticity (1 × 10 sec -1 ), (e) and (f) same as 'a' and
'b' but for rainfall anomaly (mm/day).
Bay of Bengal (Fig. 6a). The forecast for days 12-18 based on the initial
condition of 15 th also indicated the presence of cyclonic circulation valid during
the subsequent week from 26 Dec-1 Jan (day 12-18 forecast), although it is
located little to the south (Fig. 6b) and seen as east-west trough. The relative
vorticity maximum also shows maximum value over southern parts of Bay of
Bengal in days 5-11 forecast (Fig. 6c) and further moved southward during