Agriculture Reference
In-Depth Information
Table 6.7
Impact on output, exports and imports of WTO tariff cuts:
hgher elastctes
Sector
a
No control on trade balance
No change n trade balance
Eastern Central Western Natonal
Eastern Central Western
Natonal
Output
agr
-0.83
-0.47
-0.46
-0.64
-1.00
-0.58
-0.53
-0.77
mine
-1.81
1.69
3.15
0.18
-1.93
1.90
3.32
0.22
fprc
-4.84
-2.05
-5.53
-4.07
-5.05
-2.18
-5.70
-4.25
lind
8.18
-0.71
1.39
5.99
8.29
-0.61
1.72
6.12
chem
-1.73
-1.01
-0.79
-1.46
-1.73
-0.93
-0.72
-1.43
motr
-17.31 -14.64
-11.80
-15.98
-17.37
-14.33
-11.39 -15.91
mche
-3.60
-0.58
0.77
-2.45
-3.60
-0.33
0.99
-2.37
elen
7.06
-1.48
2.08
5.97
7.25
-1.34
2.38
6.17
cnst
0.56
1.22
1.32
0.83
0.55
1.26
1.35
0.84
svce
0.90
0.04
0.28
0.63
0.96
-0.01
0.23
0.65
Exports
agri
10.23
10.45
12.59
10.54
11.64
11.80
13.87
11.92
mine
2.02
9.19
10.30
5.37
2.18
9.91
10.88
5.75
fprc
6.54
7.53
5.16
6.58
7.21
8.31
5.70
7.26
lind
22.39
7.29
14.79
20.22
23.00
8.05
16.38
20.89
chem
5.62
6.15
6.54
5.75
5.93
6.69
7.04
6.11
motr
-9.20
-4.91
0.67
-7.03
-9.10
-4.19
1.45
-6.74
mche
2.06
6.66
8.32
3.45
2.30
7.38
8.92
3.80
elen
17.28
4.77
11.16
16.33
17.83
5.31
11.90
16.90
cnst
3.08
5.68
5.71
3.55
3.21
6.01
5.96
3.70
svce
3.29
4.45
5.16
3.74
3.40
4.72
5.39
3.89
Imports
agri
53.53
43.24
68.15
53.58
51.52
41.57
66.50
51.65
mine
-4.90
-4.81
-4.28
-4.80
-5.18
-4.97
-4.44
-5.05
fprc
160.52 177.43
161.94 162.94
157.50
174.43 159.66 160.08
lind
22.77
11.32
5.72
19.31
22.28
10.39
4.93
18.73
chem
22.43
18.90
20.56
21.65
22.18
18.50
20.18
21.36
motr
109.13 106.67
87.49 104.73
108.18
105.39
86.72 103.73
mche
12.21
12.97
12.26
12.33
11.93
12.59
11.97
12.04
elen
6.52
3.53
3.79
5.73
6.21
3.05
3.42
5.38
cnst
-2.64
-4.36
-4.26
-3.52
-2.81
-4.66
-4.50
-3.74
Svce
-2.48
-5.12
-5.22
-3.68
-2.64
-5.52
-5.57
-3.94
Note:
a
sector code: agr: agrculture; mne: mnng; fprc: food processng; lnd: lght
ndustry; chem: chemcals; motr: motor vehcle and other transportaton equpment;
mche: machnery and equpment; elen: electroncs and electrc equpment; cnst:
constructon; svce: servces.
Source: Author's CERD smulaton.
