Environmental Engineering Reference
In-Depth Information
100,000
90,000
80,000
70,000
X ~ N (μ′ T X ,σ′ T X )
Optimal design
60,000
50,000
40,000
μ T X = μ′ μ =50 kPa
σ X 2 +σ′ μ 2
x * Opt = 24 kPa
E ( C ) Min = $12,275
σ′ T X = ÷ ææææ
σ X = 10 kPa
30,000
20,000
10,000
0
σ′ μ = 7.5 kPa
σ′ T X = 12.5 kPa
0
20 40
Design undrained strength, x * (kPa)
60
80
100
Figure 13.23 Expected cost versus design strength for compacted fill.
(
σ
2
/
/
n
n
)
×
+
()
σ
′2
X
µ
σ
″2
=
(13.24)
µ
(
σ
2
)
()
σ
′2
X
µ
where
σ µ is the prior standard
deviation for the mean, 150 psf, and x is the sample mean of the undrained shear strength
measured in n QA/QC tests. Therefore, the information from the test will affect the design
µ µ is the prior mean value f or the mean, 1000 psf, and
C:Cost ($1000):
Implementation failure
Design OK
20-0.4 x *
0
P ( X x *| x )
x *
Te st n
samples
E ( C | x *, x )=20-0.4 x *
+ P ( X < x *| x )×100
Design fails
x *: Design
strength
20-0.4 x *
Measure x
100
P ( X < x *| x )
Updated total
distribution of X
X ~ N (μ′′ T X , σ′′ T X )
0.04
μ′′ T X = μ′′ m
x = 40 kPa, n = 10
0.03
σ′′ T X = ÷ ææææ
s X 2 +σ′′ m 2
μ′′ T X = 41.5 kPa
σ′′ T X = 10.4 kPa
0.02
Prior total
distribution of X
0.01
μ′ T X = 50 kPa
σ′ T X = 12.5 kPa
0.00
0
20
40
60
80
100
X (kPa)
Figure 13.24 Posterior decision tree to select design strength based on test data for compacted fill.
 
 
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