Microbiological Coastal Risks and Monitoring Systems - Vulnerability of Coastal Ecosystems and Adaptation - page 118

ChesROMS is the free application ( open source ) of ROMS adapted
for Chesapeake Bay. ROMS/ChesROMS is a model of primitive
equations used by a broad community of scientists for numerous and
diverse applications. ChesROMS uses historical data of reanalysis,
observations in near real time and the prediction of data under external
constraints, such as heat fluxes, river flows and even the ocean's sea
level; the goal is to simulate the salinity and the surface temperature of
the water used to generate predictions for the past, present and future
of the probability of the presence of Vibrio [BAN 12, CON 09].
The short- and medium-term predictions of the probability of the
presence of V. cholerae , V. parahaemolyticus and V. vulnificus , as
shown in the maps in Figure 3.3, are generated using predictions of
the surface temperature of the water and the salinity across habitat
models [URQ 14]. For short-term predictions, the forcing factors were
the same as those used for the reconstruction a posteriori of past
predictions obtained from the North-American model on mesoscale
and provided by the National Center for Environmental Prediction
(NCEP).
Figure 3.3. Probability maps for the presence of V. vulnificus and V. cholerae in
Chesapeake Bay (United States) generated using interpolated estimations of the
surface temperature of the water and the salinity applied to models of the habitat of
Vibrio, over the period from 9 to 15 April 2012. These maps have been kindly
provided by E. Urquhart (Johns Hopkins University, Baltimore, United States) and R.
Colwell (University of Maryland, United States) within the framework of
collaboration (see color section)