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Fig. 9.8 Fire history, age structure, and climate variations in a ponderosa pine forest in south-
western Colorado, United States (Brown and Wu 2005 ) . ( a )ENSOtimeseries( thin solid line is
NiƱo-3 sea surface temperature (SST) index [D'Arrigo et al. 2005 ] ; thin dashed line is Southern
Oscillation Index [SOI, Stahle et al. 1998 ] ). SOI is reversed to be consistent with other moisture
indices. Years of significant triennial wet/dry oscillations identified by superposed epoch analyses
(SEA) are shown by up arrowheads centered on the drought years. Biennial oscillations also were
tested and found to be largely absent during the fire-quiescent periods of 1684-1724 and 1818-
1851. Thick solid and dashed lines show reconstructed hydroclimate time series, smoothed with
20-year cubic splines. The solid line shows the annual precipitation in northeastern New Mexico
(Grissino-Mayer 1996 ) , and the dashed line shows the Palmer Drought Severity Index (PDSI) for
the Four Corners area (Cook et al. 2004 ) . ( b ) Fire-year chronology for Archuleta Mesa. Horizontal
lines mark time spans of individual trees, with fire scars designated by inverted triangles. Fire
years at bottom are those recorded on more than two trees. ( c , d ) Tree recruitment dates by 5-year
periods for ( c ) ponderosa pine and ( d ) other tree species. The shaded vertical bars connecting
graphs in ( a )-( d ) mark relatively quiescent ENSO variability, wet periods, reduced fire occurrence
and pulses of recruitment in ponderosa pine (modified from Brown and Wu 2005 , reprinted with
permission of Ecology, Ecological Society of America)
 
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