UNCERTAINTY AND RELIABILITY - Introduction to Soft Soil Geotechnique: Content, Context and Application - page 127

Figure 8.12b GeoBrain requires technical, process and ICT skills
GeoBrain provides opportunities for all parties to be involved at relevant stages,
i.e. it creates a relation between designer and subcontractor or the geo-engineer by
which decision-making and efficiency can be enhanced (Fig 8.12b). There are two
kinds of output from a GeoBrain system: experiences (product) and predictions
(process). Experience in its context can be objectivated using dedicated
questionnaires, which have been composed together with (many) users, experts and
providers. Consequences are analysed in a probabilistic fashion, i.e. an expert
group defines scenarios and assigns events and their likelihood. The participating
working groups for a GeoBrain implementation should consist of experienced
people from contractors, consulting firms, clients, insurance companies, and
scientists. Clients stimulate contractors and consultants to provide their data.
Insurers provide insight in risks and the need for a shared approach. Scientists
support elaboration and modelling. A proper preparation is required, since the
questionnaire contains some hundreds of questions, which have to be evaluated in
several scenarios. Quite a job! The Electronic Board Room and Internet are a
perfect ambiance for this process. Moreover, achieving the willingness of
participants to share their positive and negative experience and to create together a
useful new approach requires proper preparation, convincement and special
protection.
The result, objectivated expert knowledge validated by real case experiences, is
properly quantified using Artificial Intelligence, e.g. Neural and Bayesian Belief
Networks, see Fig 8.12a. The Internet is then an ideal medium to display
experiences and results of a prediction (visualisation, serious gaming). Assigned