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10.4. A disaster scenario
Figure 10.4 shows a scenario of solar activity which could lead to a
different type of climate disaster, prompting a return to the little ice age. In a
small number cycles, solar activity reaches the level of the 1700s, known as
the Maunder minimum.
Figure 10.4.
Scenario: return to the Maunder level
Graph (a) in Figure 10.5 shows simulations of the identified model under
the constraint
S
clin
> 0. In some cases, the fall in solar activity initially has
the greatest influence, then the rise in CO
2
is able to reverse the trend, thanks
to a positive climate sensitivity.
Figure 10.5.
Return to the little ice age
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