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Fig. 10.4
The results of the seabed displacement model for earthquakes with magnitudes larger
than 8 Mw in the Tohoku region. The
upper
legend is used for (1) to (8) and the
lower
legend is
used for (9) to (12)
Hoei earthquake (M 8.4; Ando
1975
; Aida
1981a
,
b
; Furumura et al.
2011
), the 1854
Ansei Tokai earthquake (M8.4; Ando
1975
; Aida
1981a
) and the 1944 Showa
Tonankai earthquake (M7.9; Kanamori
1972
; Ando
1975
; Inouchi and Sato
1975
;
Ishibashi
1981
; Aida
1979
) were modeled, and the results of the their seabed
displacement models are given in Fig.
10.5
.
Those historical events were then enhanced by extending the tensor parameters to
larger magnitudes, up to M 9.0. In addition, we simulated the scenario recently
developed by the Center of Disaster Management, Cabinet Offi ce of Japan. This
scenario accommodates slip variability in the shallow sediment along the Tokai,
Tonankai and Nankai trenches (Cabinet Offi ce of Japan
2013
). In contrast to the
Sendai plain, more historical data are available for the southern part of Japan. Thus,
the earthquake scenario could be extended to 137 cases. Half of these cases were M
7 class earthquakes, 30 % were M 8 class earthquakes, and the other 20 % were M 9
class earthquakes. Among the total number of modeled scenarios, only 64 scenarios
generated tsunami inundation of Owase City, and these were used for further analysis
(the earthquake parameters are given in Table
10.2
at the end of this chapter).
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