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There is a singularity in ( 3.236 )at
η =−
1 that is vitiated by direct integration of
( 3.222 ) to yield
exp
r 0
r 1
(
t
) =
ln
(
1
+
r 1 t
)
exp
ln 1
t
r 0
r 1
r 0
r 1
=
r 1 +
+
ln
(
r 1 )
,
which after some algebra simplifies to the hyperbolic distribution
T
T
μ 1
(
t
) =
.
(3.237)
+
t
The new parameters are expressed in terms of the old as
r 0
r 1
1
r 1 .
μ =
1
+
and
T
=
(3.238)
The corresponding distribution density,
, is easily obtained from the derivative to
be given by the hyperbolic distribution density
ψ(
t
)
T μ 1
ψ(
t
) =
1
)
) μ .
(3.239)
(
T
+
t
The singularity at
1 is the origin of the hyperbolic distribution density. It is
important to notice that the conventional Poisson case can be derived from the gen-
eral age-specific failure rate by setting r 1 =
η =−
1, and we run an algorithm
corresponding to the prescription of ( 3.233 ), we probably obtain first the times t
0
.
When
η =−
T ,
which have a larger probability, and only later do the times t
T appear. However,
the renewal character of the process requires that a very long time may appear after a
very short one, and the illusion of Poisson statistics is due to the truncation produced by
adopting a short data sequence.
The properties of the hyperbolic distribution density are in themselves very inter-
esting. For example, the power spectrum S
(
f
)
of such hyperbolic sequences has been
shown to be
1
f η ,
S
(
f
)
(3.240)
where
η =
3
μ.
(3.241)
Consequently, this spectrum diverges for f
0 when
μ
falls in the interval
1
<μ<
3
.
(3.242)
μ
For this reason, the events described by ( 3.239 ) with
in the interval ( 3.242 ) are called
critical events. Another remarkable property of these events is determined by the central
moments
t n
defined by
t n =
t n
ψ(
t
)
dt
.
(3.243)
0
 
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