Geography Reference
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f T (τ) = λ exp (- λ τ),
where τ = dT is the time between two subsequent earthquakes, λ is the flow
rate of events in time, λ = N / τ av , where τ av is the average recurrence time.
A
B
Figure 6. A - Histogram of the daily number of aftershocks of the 2003 Altai (Chuya)
event. Shown on the right is a map view of the aftershocks. B - Options for calculating
elliptic metrics to determine aftershocks, with an example of the M = 5.8 earthquake of
16.09.2003 in BRZ: a) confidence ellipse (equal probability), b) weight root-mean-
square deviation [29], c) root-mean-square deviation, d) space distribution of events
before removing aftershocks, e) time distribution of aftershocks identified by different
ellipse metrics (a), (b) and (c), R s/n = 15, f) deviation of the observed number of
earthquakes ( M ≥ 1.5 since 1987) from theoretical Poisson's distribution before (1) and
after (2, 3) removing aftershocks that followed the M = 5.8 event of 13.05.1989.
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