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(a)
70
60
50
sim min-max
sim 5-85
sim 25-75
sim median
obs
40
30
20
10
0 0
200
400 600
Timestep (min)
800
1000
(b)
ยด 10 4
4
3.5
3
2.5
sim min-max
sim 5-95
sim 25-75
sim median
obs
2
1.5
1
0.5
0 0
200
400 600
Timestep (min)
800
1000
Fig. 5.5 Model performance for event 2 (2 February 2007) for (a) discharge and (b) sediment concentration. The
simulations comprise those sampled parameter sets that yielded results better than the discharge performance
threshold of - ||
0.4, with each parameter set weighted by - || to form the GLUE likelihood distributions of
simulations. Note the sedigraph is shown before conditioning on the sediment data, as the latter led us to
reject all parameter sets sampled, based on the sediment performance threshold of MAE
=
=
150.
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