Geoscience Reference
In-Depth Information
The matrix of this game has a saddle-shaped point in the case of following
conditions: M
a
(0)
≤
N
Rb
(0)exp[d
b
N
Rb
(0)], M
b
(0)
≤
N
Ra
(0)exp[d
a
N
Ra
(0)] and that it
takes place in the real system.
Thus for both systems it is advantageous during the
first step to provide the
protective elements with a small effectiveness and to increase their effectiveness
during the second step. This is natural, since it is better to lose a greater number of
protective elements during the
first step, thus securing a reliable defense of the
working elements during the second step of the game.
From Eq. (
10.53
) it follows that the loses of a-and b-elements by system H and
N, respectively will amount to:
Q
1
¼ exp
1
þ
d
1a
d
2a
f
ð
Þ
N
Ra
ðÞþ
d
2a
M
b
ðÞ
exp
d
1a
N
Ra
ðÞ
½
g=
d
2a
;
ð
10
:
54
Þ
Q
2
¼ exp
1
þ
d
1b
d
2b
f
ð
Þ
N
Rb
ðÞþ
d
2b
M
a
ðÞ
exp
d
1b
N
Rb
½
g=
d
2b
:
In order to determine the optimum value of the effectiveness of the R
a
-and R
b
-
elements for each step of the game, we must
nd:
min
ð
d
1a
;
d
2a
Þ
Q
1
ð
d
1a
;
d
2a
Þ
and min
ð
d
1b
;
d
2b
Þ
Q
2
ð
d
1b
;
d
2b
Þ
From Eq. (
10.54
) we obtain:
@
Q
1
=@
d
1a
¼ 1
þ
2d
a
d
1a
ð
Þ
f
2N
Ra
ðÞ
M
b
ðÞ
ð
10
:
55
Þ
½
1
þ
N
Ra
2d
a
d
1a
ð
Þ
exp
d
1a
N
Ra
ðÞ
½
g
¼ 0
;
@
Q
2
=@
d
1b
¼ 1
þ
2d
b
d
1b
f
1
þ
N
Rb
ðÞ
2d
b
d
1b
ð
Þ
2N
Rb
ðÞ
M
a
ðÞ
ð
10
:
56
Þ
½
ð
Þ
exp
d
1b
N
Rb
ðÞ
½
g;
From Eq. (
10.55
) it is evident that if the equation:
f
ð
2d
a
d
1a
Þ=
d
a
d
1a
ð
Þ
g
exp
d
1a
N
Ra
ðÞ
½
¼ 0
:
5N
Ra
ðÞ=
M
b
ðÞ
ð
10
:
57
Þ
has a real root 0
d
1a
2d
a
then system H, by utilizing this root for its own
optimum strategy, can guarantee on the average losses of elements not exceeding
Q
1
¼½e
ð
2d
a
d
1a
Þ
1
. If Eq. (
10.57
) does not have a root in the interval [0, 2d
a
],
the optimum strategy is then determined either by the root of Eq. (
10.55
)orby
d
1a
¼ 0. In particular, when M
b
(0) = N
ra
(0), then d
1a
¼ 0. Similar calculations are
realized for Eq. (
10.56
).
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