The Volatility and Growth Trend of Field Production Mechanization Level in China - A Positive Analysis Based on Hodrick-Prescott Method - Efficient Decision Support Systems: Practice and Challenges from Current to Future - page 403

13.228%; The amplitude of mechanical sowing level and mechanical harvesting level is
reduced, and the growth stability of both is gradually strengthened; The factors that affect
the development of field production mechanization level include farm machinery
management modes, rural economic development condition, rural residents' per capita
income, policy system, etc. In order to prevent mechanical sowing level and mechanical
harvesting level from fluctuate greatly and promote both development at a high speed, this
article put forward: attention should be focused on factors that affect production field
mechanization development during different periods; enthusiasm of the farmers to
purchase and use agricultural machinery should be mobilized; guided by the market,
agricultural professional cooperatives should be developed quickly; management benefits of
agricultural mechanization production should be improved continuously; the construction
of supporting system for agricultural mechanization development should be promoted
constantly. In addition,GM(1,1) is used to predict the growth trend of mechanical sowing
level and mechanical harvesting level and the predicted results show that by 2015, trend
value of Chinese mechanical sowing level and mechanical harvesting level will be 49.54%
and 51.24% respectively.
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