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¼
1
2
1
2 p 1 ¼ 0
p 1 þ p 1
p 1 ¼
:
45
for the first recommendation and
¼
1
2
1
2 p 2 ¼ 0
p 2 þ p 2
p 2 ¼
:
2
for the second recommendation. Both pro babilities are obviously lower than 50 %.
We now see the problem: if, e.g., p 1 has been estimated as 0.7, i.e., for both
recommendations a 1 and a 2 issued, the user in 70 % selects the first one, we would
obtain p 1 ¼ 2 p 1 ¼ 1
4. This is obviously nonsensical. For this reason, the linear
approach can only by used meaningfully if we use all probabilities p j instead of just
those associated with the recommendations p i .
:
The entire expression can be extended without principal difficulty to
k recommendations displayed together, even though the notation is somewhat
awkward:
X
Y
p i Y
j∈ k \ Q
p l
p 1 ; ... ;k
ð
Þ
X
¼ F l p 1 ; ... ;
ð
p k
Þ ¼
1 p j
ð 4
:
4 Þ
l
p i
Q∈ fg[P k \ f ðÞ
i∈Q
i
Q
Here, k ¼
f
1
; ... ;
k
g is the index set of feasible recommendations, and P its
is the set of subsets of k that do not contain l united
power set, so fg[ P
k \
fg
with the singleton set of l .
In terms of our initial terminology, ( 4.4 ) may be expressed as follows:
,
¼ p 1 ; ... ;k
ð
Þ
p ss 0 ¼ p a 1 ; ... ;a k
ð
Þ
F a l p a 1
p a k
ss a k
s 0 ¼ s a l :
¼ F l p 1 ; ... ;
ð
p k
Þ ¼ :
ss a 1 ; ... ;
ð 4
:
5 Þ
ss a l
l
This implies that as opposed to the linear approach ( 4.3 ), the approach ( 4.5 )
works out only for those successor products s a l that are associated with one of the
single recommendations a l . A further disadvantage compared to the linear case is,
of course, the nonlinearity itself.
If we combine the probabilities as vectors p ¼
T
p 1 ; ... ;k
ð
Þ
p 1 ; ... ;k
ð
Þ
...
and
1
k
p k ) T , this mapping of single into multiple recommendation probabil-
ities is expressed as a vector function F ¼ ( F 1 ...
p ¼ ( p 1 ...
F k ) T
p ¼ F ðÞ:
ð 4
:
6 Þ
Since in practice, however, we can determine only p, we need the inverse
p ¼ F 1 ðÞ:
ð 4
:
7 Þ
Unfortunately, the function F from ( 4.4 ) is a nonlinear function. It is,
however, smooth and (component-wise) monotone. In addition, the number of
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