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p
(,
qqq
)
K
P
(
dqq
)
d
dq
(5)
120
dq
≥∆
q
2
0
0
qqq
0
=−
/
2
where
1, one can use
eq. (2), and the p -value can be expressed simply as a function of the
signal to noise ratio
and
qqq
0
=+
(
)/
2
. For q 0
1
2
1
2
K
K
R
qsq
/():
p
(,
qqq
)
2
Φ
()
x dx
.
020
120
R
q 0 ) = 0.05 are shown
together with two lines corresponding to a uniform 2-fold expression
value change
In figure 4.6, the contour lines for p (q 1 ,q 2 |
[
q 12
−=
log
2
]
. This clearly shows that, given a fixed
confidence level ( p -value
0.05), a requirement of a uniform 2-fold
expression change is at once too stringent for high expression levels
and inadequate for the low expression levels (q 0
=
2). In fact, given the
strong expression level dependence of the noise, no significance crite-
rion based solely on the expression fold change is appropriate. Instead,
in order to guarantee a fixed level of statistical relevance p 0 , one should
enforce a uniform (i.e., expression level independent) lower bound on
the signal to noise ratio R
R 0 ( p 0 ).
QUANTITATIVE NOISE ANALYSIS OF MPSS EXPERIMENTS
The data and results presented in this section are largely derived from the
quantitative study of noise in MPSS experiments presented in ref. [13],
Figure 4.6 The contour line of p -value equal to 0.05. Any pair of expression
values (q 1 ,q 2 ) outside the shaded area represent differentially expressed genes
beyond experimental noise with a p -value of 0.05 or smaller. The two dotted
lines represent 2-fold expression changes.
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