Civil Engineering Reference
In-Depth Information
i = r
I 0 ¼ Z T
0
ie rt dt ¼ 1 e rT
ð 4 Þ
i = r
I m ¼ Z T
m
ie rt dt ¼ e rm e rT
ð 5 Þ
2. V 0 is the present value of expected benefits from the investment that is made
continuously over T until the whole NZER is completed. The expected value of
benefits from this investment at time k = 0 and k = m is given in Eqs. ( 6 ) and
( 7 ), respectively:
e lvT ¼ Ve dv T
V 0 ¼ Ve lvrT
ð 6 Þ
e lv ð T m Þ ¼ Ve dv ð T m Þ
V m ¼ Ve lvr ð T m Þ
ð 7 Þ
3. Thus, the value of this multistage investment in NZER of a given building at
time t = 0 is given in Eq. ( 8 ) below:
Þ b when V 0 V*
NPV m ð V ; I Þ¼ V I 0
Þ V 0 = V
ð
ð
ð 8 Þ
Þ whenV 0 [ V
NPV m ð V ; I Þ¼ V 0 I 0
ð
s
r d v
r v
þ
2
V
I 0
b 1 ; b ¼ 0 : 5 r d v
b
¼
0 : 5
þ 2r = r v
r v
It is important to note that Eq. ( 8 ) has a similar structure to that of Eq. ( 2 )
because they are both solutions to a perpetual American option with time to build.
The only difference in this case is that the investment expenditure is spread over a
period of time T = I/i. The project value at each stage of the investment can be
assessed based on the remaining investment I k at that stage by simply replacing V 0
and I 0 in Eq. ( 8 )byV m and I m , respectively.
Finally, the investment problem is analyzed for the case where the decision-
maker decides to spread the $10-million investment over a period of time T with a
maximum investment per time period i. The building will only be operational after
all of the planned refurbishment are completed over the period of time T. Figure 5
shows the cutoff values of V* at each time period for the case where the investment
is divided into T = 2 years and T = 5 years, respectively.
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