Agriculture Reference
In-Depth Information
expected revenues are as shown in Table 7.11 in social terms and Table 7.12 in market
prices. The base year is taken as 2004/2005 and market prices for the year are as were used
in the original calculations.
As indicated earlier, changes in the level of maize yield are assumed over the 20-year period
in response to expanded farmer support programmes from the Ministry of Agriculture
which will now focus its professional attention on issues such as research, information and
Table 7.12. Sensitivity analysis under alternat
i
ve enterprise budget scenarios and PAM (2004-2021).
AR
2004/05 2005/06 2006/07 2007/08 2008/09 2009/10 2010/11 2011/12 2012/13
Revenue
1,100
1,265
1,455
1,600
1,760
1,936
2,130
2,343
2,577
Tradable input
Seed
70
74
77
81
85
89
94
98
103
Fertiliser: 2.3.2(38)+zn
405
425
447
469
492
517
543
570
598
LAN 28%
46
48
51
53
56
59
62
65
68
Insecticide: Decis
29
30
32
34
35
37
39
41
43
Malathion
12
13
13
14
15
15
16
17
18
Stalk-borer controller
90
95
99
104
109
115
121
127
133
Total tradable inputs
652
685
719
755
793
832
874
917
963
Domestic inputs
Labour: Weeding
96
99
102
105
121
139
160
183
211
Fertiliser application
60
62
64
66
75
87
100
115
132
Pest control
36
37
38
39
45
52
60
69
79
Reaping and handling
120
124
127
131
151
173
199
229
264
Dryer fees
18
19
19
20
23
26
30
34
40
Tractor hire
150
155
159
164
188
217
249
287
330
Sheller hire
300
309
318
328
377
434
499
573
659
Total domestic inputs
780
803
828
852
980
1,127
1,296
1,491
1,714
Gross margins
-332
-223
-92
-7
-12
-23
-40
-65
-100
PCR
1.74
1.38
1.12
1.01
1.01
1.02
1.03
1.05
1.06
NPCO
1.29
1.29
1.29
1.19
1.09
1.00
0.91
0.84
0.77
NPCI
1.22
1.22
1.22
1.22
1.22
1.22
1.22
1.22
1.22
PC
0.19
0.13
0.06
0.00
0.01
0.02
0.05
0.15
49.15
EPC
1.42
1.40
1.38
1.16
1.00
0.88
0.78
0.70
0.63
SRP
1.62
1.48
1.36
1.10
0.80
0.55
0.33
0.14
-0.03
Values in SZL.
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