Environmental Engineering Reference
In-Depth Information
Table 1.13
CO
2
emission intensity during the 12th Five-Year Plan
Different situations (emission intensity of CO
2
Unit: ton/10,000 yuan)
Situation of
promise
fulfilled
Change effect
of energy
structure
Change effect
of industrial
structure
Change effect of
sectoral energy
intensity
Comprehensive
effect
Year
2010
2.64
2.56
2.59
2.49
2.51
2011
2.55
2.54
2.60
2.40
2.40
2012
2.45
2.51
2.60
2.31
2.29
2013
2.36
2.48
2.61
2.23
2.19
2014
2.27
2.46
2.62
2.15
2.09
2015
2.17
2.43
2.62
2.07
2.00
Change of
carbon
intensity
17.8
5.1
1.2
16.9
20.3
Source: calculation of Xuan Xiaowei
the changing industrial structure will increase the intensity by 1.2 %. But a
change of sectoral energy intensity will cause CO
2
intensity during the 12th
Five-Year Plan to fall by 16.9 %. In sum, it is predicted that CO
2
emission
intensity might decrease by 20.3 % during this period.
To sum up, two of the three restrictive targets of energy saving in the 12th
Five-Year Plan, “rise of the share of non-fossil energy to 11.4 %” and “16 %
reduction of energy intensity” will be achieved only with great difficulties,
especially the former one, since the development of nuclear power is trapped
in dispute, and the base of non-fossil energy is quite low. Meanwhile, a decline
of energy intensity in industrial sectors, especially in the main energy-
consumption companies, is crucial to the achievement of national targets. The
future 5 years are still in the advancing stage of China's industrialization and
urbanization. To keep the decline curve of energy intensity in every sector will
be increasingly hard. However, if the two targets of non-fossil energy and energy
intensity are realized, it will be rather easy to reduce carbon emission intensity
by 17 %. Moreover, if the former two targets can be reached, the reduction of
CO
2
emission intensity during the 12th Five-Year Plan might be around 20 %.
1.4.5 Environmental Targets of Green Development
1. New Index System Environment
In order to improve the environment and realize sustainable development, the
12th Five-Year Plan reiterates the former restrictive targets and adds three more
restrictive indicators.
The former restrictive indicators: (1) SO
2
reduction; (2) chemical oxygen
demand.
