Agriculture Reference
In-Depth Information
by provnces wth a relatvely hgh concentraton ndex for the products.
As for the export promoting effects, they are expected to be distributed
n the same way as n scenaro one.
Changes n the regonal mpact pattern under the new assumpton may
be smply captured by swtchng the poston of the provnces n the left
and right quadrants in Figure 3.6. For example, in line with scenario two,
the seven provnces and regons located n the north-east quadrant swtch
to the north-west quadrant whle those n the north-west quadrant move
to the north-east quadrant. Smlar shfts of poston occur between those
provnces n the south-east quadrant and the south-west quadrant.
In scenario two, the larger share of benefits from export expansion in
labour-ntensve products stll goes to the coastal regons whle the vast
Figure 3.6 Regional pattern of the agricultural impact: scenario two
Adjustment costs from the possible import surge
Large
Small
Hainan, Jilin,
Guangxi Liaoning,
Hubei, Hebei,
Jangx
Fujian, Guangdong,
Shanghai, Shandong
Tianjin, Zhejiang
Bejng
Xinjiang, Heilongjiang
Inner Mongolia,
Ningxia, Qinghai,
Shanxi, Shaanxi,
Anhui, Yunnan,
Gansu, Henan
Jiangsu, Hunan
Sichuan, Chongqing
Guizhou, Xizang
