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and 0.59, respectively. The actual measured value of Y
5
is −0.727
(
σ
pa
′
/P
=
0
.
483
(Rochelle
et al. 1988).
The updated version of Y
6
is an SU distribution with
a
X
= 2.039/0.671 = 3.038,
b
X
= (−0.517-0.028)/0.671 = −0.799,
a
Y
= 1.427, and
b
Y
= −1.461. The unconditioned mean
and standard deviation of Y
6
are −1.05 and 0.82, respectively. The conditioned mean and
standard deviation of Y
6
are −1.06 and 0.51, respectively. The actual measured value of Y
6
is
−1.196 (
′ σ 00 (Rochelle et al. 1988). The unconditioned and conditioned distribu-
It is also possible to plot the bivariate distribution of (Y
5
, Y
6
). Note that (X
5
, X
6
) are
bivariate normal with mean equal to μ
[1]
and covariance matrix equal to
C
[11]
. The bivariate
normal PDF of (X
5
, X
6
) is
s
uv
/
.
3 2
)
T
x
x
x
1
1
2
ˆ
Š
'
'
ˆ
Š
'
'
(
)
−
1
(
)
=
5
5
[]
1
[]
11
µ
[]
1
f
X
xx
,
×
exp
−
−
µ
C
−
(1.118)
56
x
6
2
π
C
[]
11
6
According to
Equation 1.95
,
we have
(
)
(
)
−
1
−
1
(1.119)
x
=
ba
+
×
sinh
yb a
−
x
=
b
+
a
×
sinh
y
−
ba
5
X
5
X
5
5
Y
5
Y
5
6
X
6
X
6
6
Y
6
Y6
because both (Y
5
, Y
6
) are Johnson SU. The derivative of
x
with respect to
y
is
dx
dy
a
dx
dy
a
5
5
X
5
6
6
X
6
=
=
(1.120)
a
1
+−
[(
y
ba
)
]
2
a
1
+−
[(
y
ba
)
]
2
Y
5
5
Y
5
Y
5
Y
6
6
Y
6
Y
6
(a)
(b)
1.2
0
Unconditional Y
6
Conditional Y
6
using (Y
3
,Y
4
,Y
8
,Y
10
)
Unconditional Y
6
Conditional Y
6
using (Y
3
,Y
4
,Y
8
,Y
10
)
0.9
1
0.8
0.7
0.8
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0
-4
-4
-2
0
2
4
6
8
-2
0
2
4
Y
5
= ln(σ
p
/
P
a
)
Y
6
= ln(
S
u
/σ
v
)
Figure 1.35
Conditional probability density distribution based on Y
3
=
1.793, Y
4
=
−
0.912 , Y
8
=
0.504, and
Y
10
=
1.265 for (a) normalized preconsolidation stress (Y
5
) and (b) normalized undrained shear
strength (Y
6
). (The arrow indicates actual measured value reported by Rochelle, P.L., Zebdi,
M., Leroueil, S., Tavenas, F., and Virely, D. 1988.
Proceedings of the 1st International Symposium on
Penetration Testing
, Orlando, 2, 831-841.)
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