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if the models themselves are not completely realistic), linear stability analyses (even if
the mechanisms are ultimately nonlinear), and horizontal and vertical vorticity and
circulation analyses, in addition to accepting the vastly more realistic, but more
complicated results of three-dimensional numerical simulations. Merely blindly ac-
cepting the black box results from models will not do: the student and researcher
must simplify and verify the results from the fully nonlinear, three-dimensional
simulations in order to acquire a basic understanding of the physics involved. I
intend to attempt to do so in what follows, even though the modern student may
be put off by the use of seemingly ''old-fashioned'' analytical techniques. In my
opinion, a well-educated student should be able to analyze a problem using multiple
methods to check his/her understanding for consistency.
A short, separate chapter on forecasting is included at the end of this text.
However, suggested applications for forecasting techniques are implicitly and ex-
plicitly in some instances scattered throughout the text. It is hoped that forecasters
in different parts of the world can adapt various aspects of the observations and
theory presented to problems specific to their areas.
1.4 GENERAL MONOGRAPHS AND TOPICS
Atlas, D. (Ed.) (1963) Severe Local Storms, AMS Monograph 5, American Meteorological
Society, Boston, pp. 1-128, 141-156, 177-223.
Atlas, D. (Ed.) (1990) Radar in Meteorology: Battan Memorial and 40th Anniversary Radar
Meteorology Conference, American Meteorological Society, Boston, Chapters 14-16, 24.
Bluestein, H. B. (1999) Tornado Alley: Monster Storms of the Great Plains, Oxford University
Press, New York, 180 pp.
Byers, H. R. and R. R. Braham, Jr. (1949) The Thunderstorm, U.S. Government Printing
Oce, Washington, D.C., 287 pp.
Church, C. et al. (Eds.) (1990) The Tornado: Its Structure, Dynamics, Prediction, and Hazards,
AGU Monograph 79, American Geophysical Union, Washington, D.C., 637 pp.
Doswell, C. (Ed.) (2001) Severe Convective Storms, AMS Monograph 28, American
Meteorological Society, Boston, Chapters 1-5, 7, 9, and 11.
Emanuel, K. A. (1994) Atmospheric Convection, Oxford University Press, New York, Chapters
1-6, 9-11.
Fujita, T. T. (1992) The Mystery of Severe Storms, Wind Research Laboratory, Department of
Geophysical Sciences, The University of Chicago, 298 pp.
Houze, R. A., Jr. (1993) Cloud Dynamics, International Geophys. Series 53, San Diego, CA,
Chapters 7-9.
Kessler, E. (Ed.) (1986). Thunderstorm Morphology and Dynamics, University of Oklahoma
Press, Norman, OK, Chapters 1, 4, 5, 7, 9, 10, and 15.
Ray, P. (Ed.) (1986) Mesoscale Meteorology and Forecasting, American Meteorological
Society, Boston, Chapters 15-18, pp. 331-436.
Wakimoto R. M. and Srivastava, R. C. (Eds.) (2001) Radar and Atmospheric Science: A
Collection of Essays in Honor of David Atlas, AMS Monograph 30, American
Meteorological Society, Boston, Chapters 4, 5.
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