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2
2
Hatanga: r 1 =0.55***; r 5 =0.64**
Coku: r 1 =073***; r 5 =0.80**
1.5
1.5
1
1
0.5
0.5
0
0
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
2
2
Olenek: r 1 =0.26**; r 5 =0.43
Tura:r 1 =0.45***; r 5 =0.68**
1.5
1.5
1
1
0.5
0.5
0
0
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1920
1940
1960
1980
2
2
Turuchan: r 1 =0.37**; r 5 =0.73**
Ulan−Ude: r 1 =0.56***; r 5 =0.66***
1.5
1.5
1
1
0.5
0.5
0
0
1960
1970
1980
1990
1920
1940
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1980
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2
Verhoyn: r 1 =0.11; r 5 =0.22
Zigansk: r 1 =0.24**; r 5 =0.65**
1.5
1.5
1
1
0.5
0.5
0
0
1880
1900
1920
1940
1960
1980
1930
1940
1950
1960
1970
1980
1990
Fig. 3.4 Time series of Vaganov-Shashkin model simulations ( dashed lines ) compared with actual
ring width chronologies ( solid lines ) from high-latitude sites across Russia. Correlations are for
annual and five year averages. , ∗∗ , ∗∗∗ indicate one-tailed significance at p
0.1, 0.05, 0.01
levels, respectively, considering effective degrees of freedom given series lag-1 autocorrelations.
Chokurdakh (Coku) (147.9 E, 70.6 N). Hatanga (102.5 E, 72 N). Olenek (112.4 E, 68.5 N). Tura
(100.0 E, 64.2 N). Turuchan (88.0 E, 65.8 N). Ulan-Ude (107.4 E, 51.8 N). Verhoyn (133.4 E,
67.6 N). Zigansk (123.4 E, 66.8 N). Results from Evans et al. ( 2006 )
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