Geoscience Reference
In-Depth Information
7.3.2.1 Subtropical Precipitation and ENSO
Precipitation variations in the United States-Mexico, the Bolivian Altiplano, and
central Chile are related to climatic changes in the tropical Pacific. It is well
known that there is a strong teleconnection between SST changes in the tropi-
cal Pacific and precipitation anomalies in the southern United States and northern
tation anomalies in this region. Spatial correlations between different indices of
tropical Pacific circulation and the grid point PDSI series over the conterminous
United States show that the geographic location of the highest correlation field is
the patterns identified by using instrumental records.
Interannual variability in precipitation over the altiplano is primarily related
to changes in the mean zonal flow, reflecting changes in meridional baroclinicity
between tropical and subtropical latitudes, which in turn is a response to sea surface
agreement that a significant fraction of interannual variability in summer precipita-
years tend to be dry, whereas La Niña years are often associated with wet conditions
on the altiplano. However, dry La Niña years and wet El Niño years are not com-
pletely uncommon, which indicates that the relationship between SST anomalies in
the tropical Pacific and precipitation in the central Andes is not simple (Garreaud
itation anomalies in central Chile (30º
35ºS) have been reported by several authors
in central Chile are associated with warmer SSTs in the tropical Pacific. Conversely,
cold SSTs correspond quite closely to dry conditions in the area.
To gain insights into the long-term relationships between SST in the tropical
Pacific and precipitation in the southwestern United States, the Bolivian Altiplano,
and central Chile, we compared precipitation-sensitive records from these three
regions with a multiproxy-based reconstruction of SST for the El Niño-3 region
a wide network of different types of proxy climate indicators, the multiproxy El
Niño-3 reconstruction reduces the weaknesses in any individual type or location
of indicator and makes use of the mutual strength of the diversity in the records.
The reconstructed eastern equatorial Pacific Niño-3 areal-mean SST index has been
previously used as a direct indication of ENSO itself for the past 400 years (Mann
United States and Mexico have been used as predictors of both the Niño-3 index and
PDSI reconstructions, which make the reconstructions not statistically independent.
In contrast, neither the El Asiento nor the Bolivian Altiplano chronologies have been
included in the Niño-3 index reconstruction.
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