Geoscience Reference
In-Depth Information
This approximation is made under the ergodic hypothesis, that is that the ensemble
statistics at a given moment are identical to temporal (or spatial) statistics for a given
period (or space). Sometimes only weak ergodicity is assumed, restricting the ergodic
hypothesis to irst and second statistical moments only (Katul et al.,
2005
).
Thus if we have a time series with
N
observations
X
i
, then the estimate of
X
would
1
N
∑
be
X
≈
X
i
. This is a single number, valid for the entire time series of
N
obser-
N
i
=
1
vations. From the time series
X
and its
m
ean
X
, a new time series can be determined,
containing the deviations
X
′ (
XXX
′= −
). Thus the series
X
′ has
N
values, like the
original time series
X
. The deviations we are interested in are the turbulent luctua-
tions, so the period over which averaging should take place should be long enough to
remove all turbulent luctuations from the mean (so that all turbulence signal is con-
tained in the luctuations), but short enough to prevent nonturbulent luctuations (such
as the diurnal cycle) to inluence the deviations
X
′. The scale that separates the turbu-
lent from the nonturbulent luctuations is called the (co-) spectral gap. However, it is
often not as sharply deined as the word 'gap' suggests (Baker,
2010
)). Typical values
for the time scale of the (co-)spectral gap in the ASL are 10-30 minutes (Voronovich
and Kiely,
2007
; see also
Section 3.4.2
).
A number of computational rules apply for Reynolds averaged quantities (strictly
valid only when ensemble means are used):
XY XY
aX
+=+
=
aX
if is constant
if is constant
a
aa
=
a
(3.3)
∂
∂
X
x
i
=
∂
∂
X
x
with is a space or time coordinate
x
i
i
()
=
X
′ 0
Statistics of a Single Variable
For a single variable (e.g., the time series of temperature shown in
Figure 3.4
) the
two statistical
q
uanti
ties o
f interest in the framework of this topic are the mean and
the variance,
X
and
X
′ , respectively. One could think that, because the variance
involves averaging of luctuations, this should be zero (following the last rule in Eq.
(
3.3
)). But because a squared quantity (
X
′
X
′, always positive) is averaged, the result
is always positive. Besides the variance of
X
also the standard deviation (
σ
X
) is often
used, which is the square root of the variance. The advantage of the standard deviation
is that it has the same unit as the quantity under consideration.
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