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b
a
Low Observational Error
Moderate Observational Error
1005
1005
1000
1000
995
995
990
990
985
985
Truth
Prior Mean
Linear
Quadratic
Particle
980
980
975
975
d
c
1005
1005
1000
1000
995
995
990
990
985
985
980
980
975
975
e
f
1010
1010
1005
1005
1000
1000
995
995
990
990
985
985
980
980
975
975
970
970
−10
−5
0
5
10
−10
−5
0
5
10
X
X
Fig. 7.4
Estimates of the posterior mean from phase error distributions. The
left column
shows
results for low observation errors and the
right column
shows results for moderate observation
errors. The
first row
shows results for the true state located at the origin; the
second row
is for the
true state at one standard deviation; the
third row
is for the true state at two standard deviations
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