Applications of Medium Range Probabilistic Flood Forecast for Societal Benefi ts: Lessons Learnt from Bangladesh - Reducing Disaster: Early Warning Systems for Climate Change - page 170

Table 9.2 Disasters, impacts and management plan matrix for the crop, livestock and fi sheries sectors

Time of fl ood
forecast Disasters Crop Stages Season/month Impacts Alternative management plans

Early fl ood T.Aman Seedling and

vegetative
stage

Kharif II
June-July

Damage seedlings
Damage early planted T.Aman
Delay planting
Soil erosion

Early June Delayed seedling raising,

gapfi lling, skipping early
fertilizer application

T.Aus Harvesting Kharif I

June-July

Damage to the matured crop Early June Advance harvest

Jute Near maturity June-July Yield loss

Poor quality

May end Early harvest

S.Vegetables Harvesting June-July Damage yield loss

Poor quality

Mar-Apr Pot culture (homestead)

Use resistant variety

High fl ood T.Aman Tillering Kharif II

July-Aug

Total crop damage Early June Late varieties

Direct seeding
Late planting

Late fl ood T.Aman Booting Kharif II

Aug-Sep

Yield loss and crop damage Early July Use of late varieties

Direct seeding
Early winter vegetables
Mustard or pulses

Flood (early,
high and late)

Cattle - June-Sep Crisis of food and shelter. Diseases

like cholera, worm infestation

Early June Food storage, fl ood shelter,

vaccination, deworming

Flood Nursery table fi sh

Brood fi sh

- June-Aug Inundation of fi sh farms

Damage to the pond embankments
Infestation of diseases
Loss of standing crops

Apr-May Pre-fl ood harvesting

Net fencing/bana
Fingerlings stocked in fl ood free
pond, high stock density