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Table 3 Parameters for testing the null hypothesis of no change, with notation as explained in the
Appendix text, and with x l
j
j being the absolute value of the (positive and negative) limits of the 80 %
confidence interval ( x l
j
j
r =
p ¼ 1 : 282) around l
x j j
(p = 0.80)
j
x l
j
r
nz (confidence
level p)
Mahanadi River Basin
Seasonal average temperature in dry season (C)
0.3
0.47
45
4.4
(p = 0.99999)
0.09
Seasonal average temperature in wet season (C)
0.23
0.48
45
3.2
(p = 0.999)
0.09
Annual average temperature (C)
0.26
0.34
45
5.1
(p = 0.999999)
0.06
Annual precipitation (mm yr -1 )
60
187
45
2.2
(p = 0.95)
36
Annual runoff (mm yr -1 ) (upper: base scenario;
lower: test scenario)
130
204
11
2.1
(p = 0.95)
79
115
1.9
(p = 0.90)
Annual evapotranspiration (mm yr -1 ) (upper:
base scenario; lower: test scenario)
70
209
11
1.1
(p = 0.68)
81
55
0.9
(p = 0.63)
Aral region
Seasonal average temperature
in growing season (C)
0.81
0.85
20
4.3
(p =
0.24
0.99999)
Seasonal average temperature in non-growing
season (C)
1.67
1.06
20
7.0
(p = 0.999999999)
0.30
Annual average temperature (C)
1.1
0.75
20
6.6
(p = 0.999999999)
0.21
Annual precipitation (mm yr -1 )
11
38
20
1.3
(p = 0.80)
11
Annual runoff (mm yr -1 )
28
4
20
31
(p & 1)
1.1
Annual evapotranspiration (mm yr -1 )
15
36
20
1.9
(p = 0.90)
10
References
Asokan SM (2005) Water resources analysis under projected climate conditions in the Mahanadi River
Basin, India, Master thesis No. WM-04-13, Asian Institute of Technology, Thailand
Asokan SM, Jarsj¨ J, Destouni G (2010) Vapor flux by evapotranspiration: effects of changes in climate,
land use and water use. J Geophys Res 115:D24102. doi: 10.1029/2010JD04417
Bengtsson L (2010) The global atmospheric water cycle. Environ Res Lett 5:025001. doi: 10.1088/
1748-9326/5/2/025001
Bonfils C, Lobell D (2007) Empirical evidence for a recent slow-down in irrigation-induced cooling. Proc
Natl Acad Sci USA 104:13,582-13,587. doi: 10.1073/pnas.0700144104
Boucher O, Myhre G, Myhre A (2004) Direct human influence of irrigation on atmospheric water vapor and
climate. Clim Dyn 22:597-603. doi: 10.1007/s00382-004-0402-4
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