Geoscience Reference
In-Depth Information
Cairns area
Perth area
Mid case scenario, and
analogue
32.6 C, 1925 mm
Weipa, QLD
28.6 C, 555 mm,
St George QLD, (but
summer rainfall peak)
Hottest, driest scenario,
and analogue
33.5 C 1350 mm
Jabiru, NT
29.4 C, 395 mm
Quilpie, QLD (but
summer rainfall peak)
Least hot, wettest
scenario, and analogue
31.9 C 2580 mm
None in Australia Mumbai,
India (but summer peak too
strong)
27.7 C 800 mm
Rockhampton, QLD, (but
summer rainfall peak)
Adelaide area
Alice Springs area
Annual temperature
change
2.7 to 4.6 C warmer
4.1 to 6.3 C warmer
Annual precipitation
change
2
40% to 5%
2
60% to 20%
Annual PE change
1
4% to
1
17%
1
1% to
1
19%
Current climate
21.0 C, 510 mm, winter
peak
29.1 C, 305 mm
Mid case scenario and
analogue
24.6 C, 405 mm
Cobar, western NSW
34.3 C, 230 mm
Roebourne, WA
Hottest, driest scenario,
and analogue
25,6 C, 305 mm
Kalgoolie, WA,
35.5, 125 mm
None in Australia this hot
and dry
Sudan area
Least hot, wettest
scenario, and analogue
23.7 C, 525 mm
Forbes, NSW
33.2, 370 mm
Winton, QLD
Notes
a The range of changes in annual mean temperature, precipitation and potential
evaporation is formed from the 90th and 10th percentiles. The three scenarios
combine the 50th percentiles changes of temperature and rainfall ('mid case'),
the 90th temperature and 10th rainfall percentiles ('hottest, driest') and the 10th
temperature and 90th rainfall percentiles ('least hot, wettest'). Climate data are from
gridded BoM data for 1976-2005, the list of localities from Geosciences Australia
and (partial) analogues for the three scenarios are based on current climate matches
to the projected annual maximum temperature (
1.0°C) and annual precipitation
(
15 per cent).
