Geoscience Reference
In-Depth Information
Table 13.2
The drivers of adaptation and characteristics of the sectors adapting in the
three storylines for the future of Australia with 4°C warming, as described in
this study
Storyline
1. Terror Australia
2. Terroir Australia
3. New Atlantis
Drivers of adaptation/context
Nature of the
state
Minimal
Social democratic
Purposive
Public policy
Influenced by capital,
privatization.
Corporatist system of
negotiation between
the state, business
and labour.
Convergence
between the state,
capital, labour, and
civil society.
Social Norms
Values of growth,
consumption,
competition and
freedom.
Values of equity and
liberty.
Values of social
justice.
Adaptation
actions
Responsive
adaptation, no
effective action or
policy.
Incremental
adaptation.
Transformational
adaptation.
Mitigation
actions in
Australia
Piecemeal and
ineffective.
Moving to
low-carbon
economy based
primarily around
nuclear power;
low community
buy-in causing civil
disturbance.
Highly effective,
low-carbon economy
achieved, on pathway
to zero emissions.
Sectors
Cities
High-density city
centres; sprawling
suburbs; poor air
quality.
Universal high
density living; high
albedo, declining
areas of green
spaces leading to
deteriorating air
quality.
High density living,
enclosed and roofed
environments,
multi-story cities;
high-level parks.
Rural
environments
Decline of rural
communities
driven by decline
in agriculture
and increased fire
and flood risk;
steep increase in
property values
in high-amenity
locations driving out
local population.
Decline of rural
communities driven
by shift to large
highly-mechanized
farms; steep increase
in property values
in high-amenity
locations driving out
local population;
mandatory fire and
flood insurance
driving relocation.
Strong government
support maintaining
vibrant, safe and
attractive rural
communities;
price controls and
reserved housing in
high-amenity areas;
government grants
and management
of relocation of
fire-prone and flood-
prone communities.
