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cyclones. WRF model is able to simulate some salient features such as maximum
sustained wind, central pressure and movement. Simulated lowest ECP, before
the landfall, is much higher than observed or satellite derived observations.
Simulated maximum sustained wind is quite closer to the observation. With
regard to track predictions, 48 hours integration produces better forecast. Higher
resolution data might have produced results closer to observation.
Acknowledgements
Authors are extremely grateful to the Director of SAARC Meteorological
Research Centre (SMRC) for supporting computational facilities and continuous
inspiration. Special thanks are due to NCAR and NCEP for providing WRF-
ARW Model and six- hourly FNL data. Authors are also thankful to Prof. S.K.
Dube of IIT-Delhi for IITD Storm Surge Model on the basis of which air-
bubble entrainment is done by the first author (Sujit Kumar Debsarma, SMRC)
in 2009.
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