Improved Track and Intensity Predictions Using Cyclone Bogusing and Regional Assimilation - Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change - page 245

Fig. 3: Forecast track errors for cyclone (a) Laila, (b) Giri and
(c) Phet in the four experiments.
improvement at 30 hr of the forecast, and in case of Giri highest improvement
is seen at 24 hr forecast. In case of Phet no clear conclusion can be drawn as
track errors are not consistent for either BOG or CNTL experiments throughout
the forecast period. The forecast based on the IC prepared by regional
assimilation (VAR experiments) also produced large track errors. This is
consistently seen in case of cyclone Giri and Phet.