NWP Forecast Guidance during Phet at Oman Meteorological Service - Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change - page 230

3. Conclusion and Future Work
This paper presents ongoing work for DGMAN's NWP models evaluation
during Phet cyclone. It shows that the models were not able to forecast the best
track and the correct cyclone intensity. On the other hand, they provided
indication about the landfall location and time. They also were able to provide
good indication about the total amount of precipitation during the landfall day.
COSMO 2.8 km resolution showed slight improvement over COSMO 7 km.
Therefore, different parameterization schemes need to be investigated to
improve the forecast quality. It is also required to investigate the effect of a
data assimilation system in the quality of tropical cyclone forecast. Finally,
tropical cyclone specialized models may be investigated and compared to the
forecast from these unspecialized models.
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