Extended Prediction of North Indian Ocean Tropical Cyclones Using the ECMWF Variable Ensemble Prediction System - Monitoring and Prediction of Tropical Cyclones in the Indian Ocean and Climate Change - page 116

Fig. 3: (a) VarEPS pre-genesis track errors (in n mi) for all ensemble forecasts during 2007-2010. Colour shading indicates interpercentile
ranges for the VarEPS forecasts and the black line is the VarEPS ensemble mean. (b) Comparison of ECMWF control and ensemble mean
track errors (in n mi) and (c) absolute wind errors (in kts) to other global weather models and the JTWC for the period 2007-2010.