Geoscience Reference
In-Depth Information
Operational Loss from the San Andreas Fault Rupture by
Moment Magnitude and Scenario
1,400
1,300
1,200
1,100
1,000
900
800
700
600
500
400
300
200
100
0
1234567891234567891234567812345612341
Mw and Scenario
Fig. 19.4. Operational loss fromthe San Andreas fault ruptureby moment magnitude
and scenario
Annual Risk Curve for the San Francisco Bay Area
0.014
0.012
y = 2E-49x
5
- 2E-39x
4
+ 8E-30x
3
- 9E-21x
2
- 6E-12x + 0.015
0.010
0.008
0.006
0.004
0.002
0.000
$0.0
0
$0.2
5
$0.5
0
$0.7
5
$1.0
0
$1.2
5
$1.5
0
$1.7
5
$2.0
0
$2.2
5
$2.5
0
$2.7
5
$3.0
0
$3.2
5
Loss
Billions
Computed Risk Curve
Fitted 5th order Polynomial
Fig. 19.5. Annual riskcurve for transportationnetwork
