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Packard Foundation. Much of the work presented in this paper is based on the Ph.D.
research performed by Dr. Thaleia Travasarou of Fugro-West, Inc while she was at the
UniversityofCaliforniaatBerkeley.HerintellectualcontributionstodevelopingtheBray
and Travasarou (2007) simplified method is gratefully acknowledged. Discussions with
Professor Armen Der Kiureghian of the Univ. of California at Berkeley, Professor Ellen
Rathje of the Univ. of Texas at Austin, and Professor Ross Boulanger of the Univ. of
California at Davis were alsoof great value.
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