Geoscience Reference
In-Depth Information
inaccuracy, scale). This is practically possible by the definition of dike-rings. For
each ring a safety norm is determined and the safety norm of all other elements in
the dike-ring system are related to this norm. The scheme shown in Fig 17.7
clarifies the relation between the conventional inundation safety approach and the
new way as foreseen in the New Water Retainment Act. Four different levels are
distinguished: water level exceedence, inundation likelihood, inundation risk, and
inundation safety. They are interconnected in a comprehensive manner, and they
will give place to evaluating required and actual safety. Hence, the inundation
approach comprises the following aspects
- Loading (tides, waves, earthquakes);
- Mechanisms (failure mechanisms per type of structure and element);
- Calculation methods (probabilistic models, partial safety factors);
- Inundation scenarios, damage evaluation;
- Decision models accounting for “values” and “loss” (damage).
The dike-ring approach is essentially different from the traditional dike building
method. The original dike improvement concept, applied until the first Delta law,
after the flood of 1953, was raising the height of the dike by one metre above the
latest highest water level (Fig 17.7a). Here the only strength aspect considered was
the height. Flood safety was based on intuition and calamity.
STRENGTH
STRENGTH
STRENGTH
STRENGTH
LOADING
LOADING
Likelihood
of flooding
Likelihood
of flooding
HIGHEST
LEVEL
HIGHEST
LEVEL
Figure 17.7a Dike building approach before 1953
During the flood of 1953, it was noticed that in many cases the dike inner slope
had failed, and the first following Delta Law distinguished the likelihood of
different failure mechanisms. The probability of flooding was therefore redefined
into: inundation likelihood = water level exceedance (loading)
failure likelihood
(strength). The symbol K refers to convolution of stochastic loading (water level /
waves) and each dike ring, each case and each failure mode, such as overtopping,
wave overtopping, erosion outer slope, instability outer slope, leakage, settlement,
erosion inner slope, instability inner slope, uplift, and/or piping (see Fig 17.5 and
17.6). The approach is shown in Fig 17.7b in a schematic way.
K
LOADING
LOADING
OVERRUN
OVERRUN
OVERRUN
STRENGTH
STRENGTH
STRENGTH
STRENGTH
STRENGTH
LOADING
LOADING
LOADING
SLIP FAILURE
SLIP FAILURE
SLIP FAILURE
likelihood = convolution of loading
and strength
likelihood = convolution of loading
and strength
PIPING
PIPING
PIPING
Figure 17.7b Dike building approach after the first Delta law.
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