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(a)
(b)
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0 0
0.0 0.0
2000
4000
6000
8000
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
Time (s)
T M =2 (
t
) (K)
(c)
(d)
0.6
0.6
0.5
0.5
0.4
0.4
0.3
0.3
0.2
0.2
0.1
0.1
0.0 0
0.0
2000
4000
6000
8000
0.0
0.1
0.2
0.3
0.4
0.5
0.6
Time (s)
T M =2 ( t ) (K)
Figure 1.11. Temperature m = 2 amplitude time series [(a) and ( c)] and delay coordinate reconstructions [(b) and (d)] in the
m =2AV- d period-doubled amplitude vacillation regime, obtained by Young and Read [2008] in Boussinesq Navier-Stokes
simulations of rotating annulus flows. τ = 100 s in (b) and τ = 85 s in (d). Adapted from Young and Read [2008]. Copyright 2008,
with permission from Elsevier.
Such a sequence is strongly reminiscent of the period-
doubling route to chaos found in the two-layer experi-
ments of Hart [1985, 1986], who showed sequences of
period doublings from an m = 1AV flow at fixed Froude
number. This would therefore appear to be a generic route
to chaos in baroclinic wave flows at low enough wave
numbers that sideband instabilities do not dominate the
dynamics, and the main nonlinear interaction is between
a single wave and the zonal flow.
This kind of bifurcation sequence has also been
obtained in various studies invoking weakly nonlinear
baroclinic instability theory, such as by Pedlosky and
Frenzen [1980] for the two-layer model [see Klein , 1990, for
a review] and Weng et al. [1986] for the continuously strat-
ified Eady problem. These and other studies [e.g, see Ghil
and Childress , 1987] have shown that the endpoint of such
period-doubling sequences, even in very simple models
representing the interactions of single mixed baroclinic-
barotropic waves with a zonal flow, can be chaotic states
of low dimension. In certain limits, several workers have
shown that the single wave/zonal flow equilibration prob-
lem may reduce to a set of three coupled ODEs:
dX
= σ(Y
X) ,
(1.15)
dY
= XZ + r a X
Y ,
(1.16)
dZ
= XY
bZ ,
(1.17)
 
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