Climate change impacts on agricultural productivity in Norway - Climate Change Effect on Crop Productivity - page 494

Average annual precipitation

Predicted %
change in
yield from
RegClim

Predicted %
change in
yield: net
effect

Predicted
change in
yield

1980-2000
value a

RegClim
% change

Estimated
coeficient

County Period Crop

P2 Barley 1231 0.18 −0.3 −63 −18% 1%

P3 Barley 1231 0.18 −0.3 −59 −16% −16%

Hordaland All Potato 2117 0.18 −0.3 −131 −7% −7%

P1 Barley 2117 0.18 −0.1 −27 −7% 5%

P1 Oats 2117 0.18 −0.1 −26 −13% −13%

Sogn & Fjordane All Potato 2023 0.14 −0.2 −67 −3% 13%

P1 Barley 2023 0.14 20%

Møre & Romsdal All Potato 1380 0.11 −0.6 −85 −4% 15%

Sør-Trøndelag All Barley 947 0.10 −0.1 −7 −2% 7%

All Oats 947 0.10 −0.1 −9 −2% 8%

All Potato 947 0.10 −0.8 −71 −3% 14%

Nord-Trøndelag All Barley 868 0.08 −0.1 −5 −1% 7%

All Potato 868 0.08 −0.7 −51 −5% −5%

P1 Oats 868 0.08 −0.2 −14 −4% −4%

P3 Wheat 868 0.08 0.3 20 6% 6%

Nordland All Barley 1129 0.08 −0.1 −8 −2% 18%

All Oats 1129 0.08 −0.1 −8 −2% 18%

All Potato 1129 0.08 −0.4 −40 −2% 30%

Troms All Potato 1040 0.06 33%

Finnmark All Potato 407 0.06 35%

Note: Table based on model estimates, changes in GDD and precipitation under the RegClim scenario and yield predictions for 2040.
a

Average precipitation calculation based on available data: Hedmark: 1980-1998; Telemark: 1980-1989.