Geoscience Reference
In-Depth Information
ChApteR NINeteeN
Climate change impacts
on agricultural
productivity in Norway
Asbjørn Torvanger, Michelle Twena and
Bård Romstad
Contents
Abstract
460
19.1 Introduction
460
19.2 Description of the model
464
Statistical model
464
Variants of the model
465
Yield predictions for the RegClim scenario
466
19.3 Data
466
Time periods
466
Crop data
466
Weather data
467
Analysis at the national level
469
The RegClim scenario
469
Pre dict ing future yields
470
19.4 Discussion of results
474
General findings
474
Predictions
475
19.5 Further analysis
477
19.6 Conclusions
478
Acknowledgements
478
Appendix 19.A: Detailed regression output
479
Appendix 19.B: RegClim data and predictions
491
Appendix 19.C: Model variants
495
References
497
459
