Implications for Future Risk Management Strategies - Climate Change and Infrastructure, Urban Systems, and Vulnerabilities - page 64

1-in-100 Yr Flood Zones
for New York City
with Rapid Ice Melt Sea Level
Rise Projections

Long
Island
Sound

Figure 14 Flooding risks to the
New York City area associated with
substantial climate change. Note that
a “1” in 100 Year Flood Zone” refers
to a mean recurrence interval for that
magnitude of flooding. It is not a
prediction that such an event will
occur only once in 100 years.

Bronx

Major Roads and Highways
FEMA Current
1-in-100 Year Flood Zone
2020s 1-in-100 Year Flood Zone
(w/ 9” Sea Level Rise)
2050s 1-in-100 Year Flood Zone
(w/ 27” Sea Level Rise)
2080s 1-in-100 Year Flood Zone
(w/ 53” Sea Level Rise)

Queens

Upper
Bay

Brooklyn

Staten
Island

Lower
Bay

ATLANTIC OCEAN

Raritan
Bay

Adaptive Urbanization - Climate Risk Management in Cities,
Flexible Adaptation Pathways and interactive Mitigation and Adaptation

Figure 15 Adaptive urbanization -
climate risk management in
cities, flexible adaptation
pathways, and interactive
mitigation and adaptation

Acceptable risk
Status quo
Setting inflexible adaptation
standard with mitigation
Flexible Adaptation Pathway
without mitigation
Flexible Adaptation Pathway
with mitigation

Time (decades)

Graphic adapted from: Lowe,
J., T. Reeder, K. Horsburgh,
and V. Bell. “Using the new
TE2100 science scenarios.”
UK Environment Agency.

Monitor & Reassess!

2/10/10 NDCC: Ch 2 - Adopting a Risk-based Approach