2010 to 2019: Clouds, Crowds, Blogs, Big Data, and Predictive Analytics - The Technical and Social History of Software Engineering - page 352

Projected Growth of Software from 2010 to 2019
By the end of this decade, cloud applications and software as a service (SaaS)
should top 50% of all new software projects. However, maintenance and enhance-
ments of legacy applications will top 65% of all software projects. Smartphone
and tablet applications will probably be more than 70% of all new personal soft-
ware applications. Table 10.2 shows projected U.S. applications for the decade.
Table 10.2 Projected U.S. Software Applications from 2010 to 2019
All types of software applications will grow in numbers, but currently web ap-
plications and smartphone applications appear to have the fastest growth rates.
Results for 1,000 Function Points Circa 2015
By the end of the decade, the same 1,000 function point project might look like
this:
• Source code for 1,000 function points: 26,667 logical code statements
• Programming languages: Objective-C and Go
• Reuse percentage: 0% to 85%
• Methodology: Hybrid (TSP, RUP, Agile)
• Productivity: 12.00 function points per staff month