Environmental Engineering Reference
In-Depth Information
4
3.3
3
2.3
2
1.3
1
0.3
0
−0.7
−1
−1.7
−2
−2.7
Raw data from Shen et al., 2011
“Loess” fit from Cui et al., 2013
“Loess” fit in this study
−3
−3.7
−4
−4.7
−60
−40
−20
0
20
40
60
Time from onset of the extinction (kyr)
13 C value of carbonate from Shen et al .( 2011 ) (squares), the
Figure 19.1
δ
13 C in this study (solid line) and the
statistical
loess
t to the
δ
loess
tin
13 C value of
Cui et al ., ( 2013 ) (dotted line); the right y -axis gives the inferred
δ
DIC used to force the model.
biogenic methane (
). We conducted 21 runs in total with three initial
saturation states and seven different sources ( Table 19.2 ).
-
60
19.3 Results
19.3.1 Flux and total amount of C addition, pCO 2 , ocean-surface
temperature, Ω calcite and pH
The model results for peak
flux and total amount of C addition, peak p CO 2 , ocean-
surface temperature, and minimum
calcite and pH are summarized in Table 19.2 .
We show how two important environmental variables, the
Ω
flux of the C addition and
Ω
calcite, change with time for various scenarios in Figure 19.2 . The C release appears
to have come in two multimillennial-duration pulses, with the highest peak rate of
about 66 Gt C yr - 1
10 Gt C yr - 1
(cf. 9
-
today, Le Quéré et al ., 2009 , 2013 ) for
13
scenario 1 (
δ
C source
¼ -
9
and
Ω
¼
10) and the lowest peak rate of about
calcite, init
0.7 Gt C yr - 1 for scenario 21 (the scenario with
13
¼
2.5). More 13 C-depleted sources and lower initial saturation states cause dramatic
declines in modeled peak rates of C addition ( Figure 19.2a
δ
C source
¼ -
60
and
Ω
calcite, init
c and Table 19.2 ). It is
also interesting to note that the two pulsed C-release events are followed by two C-
burial events, expressed as negative C
-
c ) , required by the model
to reproduce the rapid rate of C isotope recovery from the minimum values. The total
ux ( Figure 19.2a
-
 
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