Biomedical Engineering Reference
In-Depth Information
13.2.1
Overview
For concreteness consider an HIV vaccine trial where subjects are assessed
at baseline and those found to be HIV-negative (and found to meet all other
inclusion criteria) are randomized to an experimental HIV vaccine or placebo.
The endpoint is time from randomization (which we suppose happens imme-
diately after the baseline assessment) until HIV is detectable in the blood.
We do not observe the time until the endpoint, but only observe that it falls
between the last HIV-negative blood sample and the first HIV-positive blood
sample. This assumes that once the event has occurred, it will be able to be
observed at the next assessment (so, for example, no one is spontaneously
cured of HIV and we assume that the assay has perfect sensitivity and speci-
ficity). We are interested in detecting differences in survival distributions of
the time until endpoint (HIV is first detectable in blood) between vaccinated
and placebo subjects.
An essential property of any test of treatment effect is that the test is
valid, that is, the size of the test is not larger than the nominal level. So it
would seem that we should not allow different assessment distributions for
the different treatments, which we will call assessment-treatment dependence
(ATD), because those differences might affect the validity of the test. In fact,
we will show by simulation that there are some kinds of ATD that do not
destroy the validity of some tests.
For estimating the survival distribution from one sample, there are some
minimum assumptions needed on the assessment distribution for identifiability
(Oller et al., 2007). We consider here only the more restrictive (but simpler
to describe) assumption of independent assessment. Under independent as-
sessment (or independent censoring), the process that causes a subject to be
assessed is independent of that subject's event time. For a study of time to
death with right-censoring, we often assume that the censoring is indepen-
dent of death. In that case, the independence assumption would be violated if
subjects drop out and are right-censored if they become very ill. This is infor-
 
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