Biomedical Engineering Reference
In-Depth Information
the application, it may be desirable to shift the time-dependent term. For
example, a model equivalent to model (10) is:
E[dN i (t)jZ i ] = d 0 (t) expf 0 Z i + Z i (tt 0 )g;
(11)
where t 0 would be chosen to be some readily intuited time; e.g., mean,
median, mid-point of follow-up distribution. Due to the non-proportionality,
the rate ratio (Z i = 1 vs. Z i = 0) varies with t in model (10) and equals
expf 0 gat t = t 0 in model (11).
4. Simulation Study
To assess the performance of the non-proportional rates model in nite
samples, we conducted a simulation study. A wide range of scenarios were
examined. The number of subjects was set to n = 30, 50, 100 and 200.
Censoring times, C i , were generated from a Uniform(0,2.5) distribution.
The simulated non-proportional rates model was given by:
d 0 (t) = Q i d 0 expf 0 Z i + 0 Z i (t1:25)g;
(12)
with d 0 =0.5, 0 = log(2), 0 = 0:5, and Q i followed a Gamma distribution
with mean 1 and variance, 2 . The covariate was set to Z i
= mod(i; 2),
where mod is the remainder operator.
The frailty variate, Q i , was included in order to accommodate positive
intra-subject event time correlations. Frailty variances employed included
2 = 0, 0.5, 1.0, and 2.0. For 2 =0, within-subject event times are indepen-
dent. Setting 2 to 0.5 and 1.0 results in positive correlation among event
times for each subject, with 2 =2.0 resulting in extremely strong event time
correlations. In the analysis of recurrent events, at least among human
subjects in biomedical studies, it would be rare to observe 2 =0 or 2 >2.
For each subject, N i =25 events were generated from a non-
homogeneous Poisson process (Chiang 3 ), with the j'th event time generated
as:
T i;j = T i;j1 1
0
1 0 log(U i )
Q i d 0 expfZ i ( 0 1:25 0 )g
log
;
(13)
for j = 1; : : : ; 25, where the U ij are Uniform(0,1) variates and T i;0 0.
Events with (T i;j > C i ) were treated as unobserved.
Due to the non-proportionality ( 0 6= 0), the eect of Z i on the event
process is not constant over time. The shift in the Z i t term allows that 0
represents the log rate ratio at t = 1:25, the mid-point of the observation
period or, equivalently, the mean observation time, since E[C i ] = 1:25.
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