Agriculture Reference
In-Depth Information
CHAPTER NINE
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M onitoring Drought in the United States:
S tatus and Trends
D ONALD A. WILHITE, MARK D. SVOBODA,
A ND MICHAEL J. HAYES
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Drought occurs somewhere in the United States almost every year and
results in serious economic, social, and environmental costs and losses.
Drought is more commonly associated with the western United States
because much of this region is typically arid to semiarid. For example,
this region experienced widespread drought conditions from the late 1980s
through the early 1990s. The widespread and severe drought that affected
large portions of the nation in 1988 resulted in an estimated $39 billion in
impacts in sectors ranging from agriculture and forestry to transportation,
energy production, water supply, tourism, recreation, and the environment
(Riebsame et al., 1991). In the case of agriculture, production losses of
more than $15 billion occurred and especially devastated corn and spring
wheat belts in addition to reducing exports to other nations. In 1995, the
U.S. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) estimated annual
losses attributable to drought at $6-8 billion (FEMA, 1995). Since 1995,
drought has occurred in nearly all parts of the country, and many regions
have been affected on several occasions and in consecutive years. Most of
the eastern United States experienced an extremely severe drought in 1998-
99, and in parts of the southeast, drought occurred each year from 1999
through 2002, especially in Florida and Georgia.
Figure 9.1 depicts nonirrigated corn yields for Nebraska for the period
from 1950 to 2002. Nebraska is one of the principal agricultural states in
the United States, and corn is one of its primary crops. The drought effects
on yields are most apparent during the severe droughts of the mid-1950s,
mid-1970s, 1980, 1983, 1988-89, and 2000. Extremely wet years, such as
1993 in the eastern part of the state, also depressed corn yields.
Monitoring drought presents some unique challenges because of its dis-
tinctive characteristics (Wilhite, 2000). The purpose of this chapter is to
document the current status of drought monitoring and assessment in the
United States, particularly with regard to the agricultural sector.
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