Travel Reference
In-Depth Information
Table 1.1 International tourist arrivals and receipts, 1950-2012
Year
Arrivals
(million)
Receipts
(US$bn)
Year
Arrivals
(million)
Receipts
(US$bn)
1950
25.3
2.1
1998
616.7
451.4
1960
69.3
6.9
1999
639.6
464.5
1965
112.9
11.6
2000
687.0
481.6
1970
165.8
17.9
2001
686.7
469.9
1975
222.3
40.7
2002
707.0
488.2
1980
278.1
104.4
2003
694.6
534.6
1985
320.1
119.1
2004
765.1
634.7
1990
439.5
270.2
2005
806.6
682.7
1991
442.5
283.4
2006
847.0
742.0
1992
479.8
326.6
2007
903.0
856.0
1993
495.7
332.6
2008
917.0
939.0
1994
519.8
362.1
2009
882.0
851.0
1995
540.6
410.7
2010
940.0
927.0
1996
575.0
446.0
2011
995.0
1042.0
1997
598.6
450.4
2012
1035.0
1075.0
Source: Adapted from UNWTO data.
Since the start of the new millennium, however, the average annual increase
in arrivals has levelled off at around 4.5%, and it would appear that the
UNWTO's long-standing and perhaps rather daunting forecast of 1.6 billion
arrivals (and receipts of US$2 trillion) by 2020 will be easily met, if not
exceeded (WTO, 1998c), although rises in the cost of oil along with potential
'green' taxation on aviation may lead to significant rises in the cost of air
travel and, hence, serve to dampen demand in the future, at least for inter-
national travel. It must also be questioned whether such growth over the
coming decades is sustainable both environmentally and in terms of the
Table 1.2 Tourism arrivals and receipts growth rates, 1950-1998
Arrivals (average
annual increase %)
Receipts (average
annual increase %)
1950-1960
10.6
12.6
1960-1970
9.1
10.1
1970-1980
5.6
19.4
1980-1990
4.8
9.8
1990-1998
4.0
6.5
Source: WTO (1999b).
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