Digital Signal Processing Reference
In-Depth Information
1.5 Conditional Probability
Often the occurrence of one event may be dependent upon the occurrence of
another. If we have two events A and B , we may wish to know the probability of
A if we already know that B has occurred. Given an event B with nonzero
probability,
PfBg >
0
;
(1.42)
we define such probability as conditional probability P { A | B },
P f A \ B g
PfBg
P f AB g
PfBg ;
PfAjBg¼
¼
(1.43)
where P { AB } is the probability of the joint occurrence of A and B . It is called a joint
probability .
Equation ( 1.43 ) can be interpreted, depending on the relations between A and B ,
as described in the following.
￿ The event A occurs, if and only if, the outcome s i is in the intersection of events A
and B (i.e., in A\B ) as shown in Fig. 1.7a .
￿ If we have A ¼ B (Fig. 1.7b ), then, given that event B has occurred, event A is a
certain event with the probability 1. The same is confirmed from ( 1.43 ), making
PfABg¼PfBg:
(1.44)
￿ The other extreme case is when events A and B do not have elements in common
(Fig. 1.7c ), resulting in the conditional probability P { A | B } being equal to zero.
The conditional probability, since it is still probability, must satisfy the three
axioms ( 1.11 )-( 1.13 ).
Axiom I The first axiom is obviously satisfied, because P { B } is positive, and the
joint probability
PfABg¼PfA \ Bg¼PfAgþPfBgPfA [ Bg
(1.45)
is also positive because the following relation holds:
PfA þ Bg¼PfA [ Bg¼PfAgþPfBgPfA \ BgPfAgþPfBg:
(1.46)
Axiom II The second axiom is satisfied because
P f SB g
PfBg ¼
PfBg
PfBg ¼ 1
PfSjBg¼
:
(1.47)
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