Database Reference
In-Depth Information
144). This comment takes us to correlation , the key technique for draw-
ing quantitative conclusions through big-data analysis, whether it is the
relationship of a ticket price to an actor's tears or between search terms
and the spread of lu.
As a sociologist, I am very familiar with both the magic and the danger
of the correlation. As a graduate student in the 1970s I can recall turning
in punch cards and receiving printouts that appeared magical because they
provided me with a series of correlations and conidence levels (measures
of statistical signiicance) that, even armed with my statistics textbook,
once took hours to complete. This gave me the irst small taste of what
a mainframe computer could do, but it was still within the realm of my
own computational powers. More of a leap came in the 1980s when, with
another colleague, I launched my own major research project based on a
national survey of telephone workers in Canada (Mosco and Zureik 1987).
For this, the variables multiplied exponentially and so were far beyond
manual calculations. But there they were, hundreds of correlations that
brought together demographic data on the workforce, everything from
age to job category, with attitudes about the work, workmates, surveil-
lance, and the technology that was taking over more and more of the labor
process. This appeared to be even more magical because computers were
now doing something that I could not even conceivably accomplish on
my own. While not exactly the stuff of today's big-data studies, because
we relied on a national sample rather than a complete population, it gave
me the irst feeling of what it was like to review a printout whose numbers
appeared to speak to me. But it did not take long, especially because the
senior member of our team was an experienced hand, to understand that
much of what I was looking at was of our own construction. We set up
and deined the variables, creating them out of our own theoretical vision
that established what mattered most in our view—the impact of electronic
surveillance on job satisfaction. As the popular (and very successful) data
analyst Nate Silver explained, “The numbers have no way of speaking
for themselves. We speak for them. We imbue them with meaning.” Any
other view is “badly mistaken” (Asay 2013). That became abundantly
clear when I realized that most of what was spoken, whoever was doing
the talking, was gibberish or, what Silver and others call noise (Silver
2012). That was primarily because most of the correlations we found,
however strong, were spurious or irrelevant; that is, the relationship found
Search WWH ::




Custom Search