Information Technology Reference
In-Depth Information
(f) Set
D
˛=ˇ and show that (
5.149
) can be written in the form
y
0
.t /
y.t/
D
˛
C
y.t /:
(5.159)
(g) Use (
5.153
)and(
5.159
) to show that
ln.y.t
nC1
//
ln.y.t
n
//
D
˛.t
nC1
t
n
/
C
Z
t
nC1
t
n
y.t/
dt
:
(5.160)
(h) Use (
5.160
) to show that
ln .y.t
nC1
/=y.t
n
//
t
nC1
t
n
2
.y.t
nC1
/
C
y.t
n
// :
˛
C
(5.161)
(i) We want to reconsider the problem of computing a model of the future growth of
the world population. We therefore want to use the data in Table
5.4
on page
170
in order to determine the coefficients ˛ and in (
5.161
). In (
5.161
) we note that
t
nC1
t
n
D
1:
In addition, we define
c
n
D
ln .y.t
nC1
/=y.t
n
//
(5.162)
and
1
2
.y.t
nC1
/
C
y.t
n
// :
d
n
D
(5.163)
From the data in Table
5.3
, c
n
and d
n
are readily computed. Make a table con-
sisting of columns for the year, n, y.t
n
/, c
n
,andd
n
, in the same style as in
Tab le
5.3
.
(j) Using the definitions (
5.162
)and(
5.163
) together with (
5.161
), we have
c
n
˛
C
d
n
;
D
0;1;:::;9;
(5.164)
where c
n
, d
n
are given and where ˛ and are to be determined. We want to
compute ˛ and ˇ using the method of least squares. In order to do this, we
define
9
X
.˛
C
d
n
c
n
/
2
:
F.˛;/
D
(5.165)
nD0
Explain why we want to compute the values of ˛ and that minimize F .